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The Effect of Public Debt on the Economic Growth of Côte D’ Ivoire.

Authors

Angela Audrey Milena Pascale Kouakou, George Nwokike Ike

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of the public debt on the economic growth of Côte d’Ivoire from 1980 to 2016. Using the ARDL-Bound test for cointegration, it shows that there is cointegration when GDP is the dependent variable. Examining the long- and short-term effects of debt on real gross domestic product using the ARDL and Error Correction Model (ECM), it reveals that external public debt, trade openness, and consumer price index has a negative long-run impact on GDP. Meanwhile, private investment positively impacted economic growth. In the short run, the coefficient values of trade openness and consumer price index are not significant. Also, the study performs the causality test using the Toda-Yamamoto causality test, which displays a long-run unidirectional causality between debt and GDP. Debt has a causal effect on economic growth. The country should therefore minimize its dependence on external debt and rather intensify internal reforms to generate revenues.

Keywords

External Public Debt, Economic Growth, ARDL-Bounds Test

DOI

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References

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